PHOENIX - Concerned that Iran may be building nuclear weapons, some in Congress are pressing the United States to bomb Iran's nuclear facilities, or help Israel do it. However, economists warn that even the threat of war is hurting the economic recovery.

The standoff in the world's most important oil-producing region is driving up the price of crude, says economist Mark Weisbrot, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, adding that any conflict probably would have a terrible impact on the frail European economies - which, in turn, could damage what is still weak growth here.

"Oh, very easily. We're only growing 1.8 percent for this year. The threats against Iran, the threat of war, could easily tip the U.S. economy into recession."

Gasoline in Arizona is averaging about $3.88 a gallon, 4 cents above the national average, according to the American Automobile Association.

Economists cite numerous factors behind the rising price of gasoline, including a bottleneck at refineries and the exporting of gas to Europe. But Weisbrot says the threat of war is the single reason crude oil has gone up $6 to $10 a barrel since the beginning of the year. Since it's a global market, he says, drilling or building pipelines here wouldn't make much difference.

"Any kind of oil production here or in Canada would have very little impact. What we're looking at really has nothing to do with whether the president wants to drill anywhere or build a pipeline."

Weisbrot says the European economies are in an even more vulnerable situation than that of the United States, adding that a new crisis there could easily spread across the Atlantic.

"Just as it could tip the U.S. economy into recession. Europe is already in recession, and Europe is more fragile as well, because of the financial problem."

Estimates vary widely on how far Iran may be from producing nuclear weapons, and it's even uncertain if that's the regime's intention. Most experts agree that Israel already has nuclear weapons, although the Israeli government refuses to confirm or deny it.


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This Saturday marks the International Day of Peace and the advocacy group Nonviolent Peaceforce is kicking off a series of family-friendly events in Midland.

The focus of the day is to encourage nations and individuals to resolve conflicts without violence. Nonviolent Peaceforce aims to inspire the Midland community through stage performances, the dedication of a "peace pole" and giveaways of a special book on fostering peace.

Judy Timmons, treasurer and historian of Nonviolent Peaceforce Midland, underscored the commitment to resolving conflicts through dialogue rather than violence, especially in light of the many conflicts playing out on the world stage.

"We have to listen to one another before we can bring about peace," Timmons urged. "We have to understand where the other person is coming from. You know, I think more than ever, we need to focus our efforts on peace and how we can promote peace in our everyday lives."

The International Day of Peace was established by the United Nations in 1981, initially intended as a day of ceasefire and nonviolence.

At the United Nations headquarters in New York, the U.N. Secretary-General will ring the Peace Bell to honor the day. This year's theme is "Cultivating a Culture of Peace." Timmons pointed out her group believes in teaching children the values of peaceful resolution. She noted prior to the pandemic days, they went into schools to teach anti-bullying, with a program called, "Be aware, play fair, show you care."

"We've taught over 1,100 area students how to recognize what is a bully, and why are they a bully?" Timmons explained. "And how you can befriend a bully, if you will."

Timmons added the organization is working on resuming school visits. Events worldwide include educational programs, peace walks, cultural performances and advocacy campaigns.

This week, protesters could outnumber delegates at the Democratic National Convention starting today in Chicago.

The demonstrators will include tens of thousands of advocates and opponents of U.S. support of Israel in the Hamas war in Gaza. One group, Jewish Voices for Peace, teams with Black and Palestinian organizers and supports peaceful protests.

Arielle Rebekah, media strategist for Jewish Voices for Peace, explained the longtime concern they believe is now fueling the Hamas conflict.

"Political leaders across the political spectrum have continued to prioritize their financial and political interests in the Middle East over Palestinian lives," Rebekah asserted. "This is not, you know, specific to any political leader. This is, like, pretty much across the political establishment, and this has been true for nearly a century."

Chicago officials have processed thousands of convention rally requests. Rebekah stated the group is aware the political establishment has animosity toward demonstrators but pointed out protesters are exercising their rights as citizens to be engaged in causes they believe in.

The convention handed another pro-Palestinian organization a setback last week. The Coalition to March on the DNC had asked for an extended route to accommodate the thousands of anticipated demonstrators but a federal judge denied the request, saying Chicago had met its legal responsibility by allowing protesters to march "within sight and sound" of the convention location.

Faayani Aboma Mijana, spokesperson for the coalition, said the requests of other pro-Palestinian groups are not being granted.

"We have these secondary demands around labor rights, police crimes, immigrant rights, LGBTQIA+ rights, women's rights," Mijana outlined. "Because we recognize that all these secondary demands are directly connected to the fact that the Democrats have gone 'all in' on this genocide. And while they are doing that, we're getting left behind."

Mijana pointed out the coalition marched at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee. The group's website lists other causes, including more funding for jobs, schools, health care, housing and the environment, as well as the right to unionize and strike.

Plenty of political and social leaders are calling for unity and condemning political violence after this weekend's assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump. However, a University of Nevada, Las Vegas sociologist said he is not too optimistic about the country's capacity to use this political moment to catalyze change.

Robert Futrell, professor of sociology at the University of Nevada-Las Vegas, who studies social movements and social change, said while Saturday's event has every hallmark of a political and social turning point, he thinks it is unlikely to happen given the country's recent history.

"If we can't come together and imagine that a better world is possible without political violence and without guns kind of fueling that, helping to fuel that, I'm not sure that this one is going to turn the tide either, unfortunately," Futrell explained.

Futrell emphasized the question becomes, 'Can and will the U.S. find the political willpower to act and stem the tide on the various forms of violence plaguing the nation?' Recent research showed almost 7% of Americans believe the use of force would be "appropriate" to restore former President Trump to office. And 10% of Americans said political violence would be justified to prevent Trump from becoming president again.

Futrell noted conspiracy theorists have already started to alter the symbolic images from Saturday's fiasco. He has seen altered images of Secret Service agents smiling as the tragedy took place. According to Futrell, conspiracy theorists take a slight shred of evidence, altered or not, to create what he calls a "mythology" that fits preestablished ideas about how politics and power work, which he said added dangerous fuel to the fire.

"After the horror of 'there has been a shooting of a former president' goes past -- and we're probably already past that in some ways -- that the tales will get spun in the ways that seem politically beneficial to whoever's spinning them, be that the far right, the left," Futrell pointed out. "Conspiracists are really good at that."

Futrell added not everyone thinks about the power words hold and while he appreciates the immediate sentiment of unity, he encouraged everyone to reflect moving forward.

"We need to debate but debate on grounds that don't lead to deep tensions and hatred," Futrell advised. "I agree with all of that. I would ask folks to think about whether they individually, and we collectively, are doing that a week from now, a month from now, a year from now."

Support for this reporting was provided by The Carnegie Corporation of New York.


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