CHEYENNE, Wyo. – As Washington grapples with rebooting the nation's tax code, a new report makes a compelling argument for eliminating tax breaks for the fossil fuel industry.
Peter Erickson, the study's lead author, says market forces – like current oil prices – would prevent industry from tapping reserves that scientists warn need to stay in the ground to prevent the most catastrophic impacts of climate change.
But Erickson says taxpayer-funded subsidies are tilting the scale in favor of more drilling.
"Just these subsidies that we looked at would bring on about 6 (billion) or 7 billion tons of CO2,” he points out. “That's about 20 percent of all the oil that we could produce between now and 2050."
The study, by the Stockholm Environment Institute and the environmental watchdog group Earth Track, found nearly half of all known U.S. oil reserves are dependent on subsidies.
Erickson explains pollution from those reserves would put a big dent in the nation's carbon budget, the total amount of fuel that can be burned while keeping global temperatures below dangerous levels.
Industry groups argue tax breaks are necessary to keep and create jobs.
Researchers found that when oil prices are down, tax breaks prop up returns for investors.
And Erickson says when prices go up, the subsidies flow directly into a company's overall profits.
"These dollars are not going to greater wages or to greater jobs,” he stresses. “Most of the value of these subsidies goes directly to corporate profits, over and above what they already need in order to employ people on the ground."
Erickson adds tax breaks could be used to create jobs in industries with better long-term prospects. He points to the recent announcement by General Motors to switch to 100 percent electric vehicles, and China's decision to ban cars that use diesel.
"The way we structure our tax code really reflects our priorities as a country,” Erickson states. “Are we going to subsidize things that give us a better future, or are we going to subsidize the old industries that are creating lots of pollution?"
The prospect for cutting subsidies remains uncertain. A separate report by Oil Change International found that in the 2015-2016 election cycle, oil, gas and coal companies invested $354 million in campaign contributions and lobbying and got nearly $30 billion in federal subsidies, a return of more than 8,000 percent.
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Minnesota is a leader in renewable energy - getting 54% of its electricity from zero-carbon sources last year, according to the 2024 Minnesota Energy Factsheet released today. The annual report comes from Clean Energy Economy Minnesota and the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.
Amelia Cerling-Hennes, managing director of public affairs with Clean Energy Economy Minnesota, said that's 12% better than the national average.
"We're really pleased to see about 600 megawatts of wind and solar getting added, and we're anticipating that that's going to be even higher next year as some of the large utility-scale projects that are being built right now kind of come online," she said.
Carbon emissions from the power sector also dropped 54% in 2023 with the retirement of part of the Sherco coal-fired power plant. Electric vehicle registrations went up 55%. Last year, Minnesota-based Cummins began shipping electrolyzers, which generate energy from hydrogen.
Andy Kim, president of the civil engineering firm EVS in Eden Prairie, said battery storage will be increasingly paired with large-scale solar projects in the future.
"You get uninterrupted power, you improve grid stability, and ultimately, it will lead to cost savings. And we see battery storage on at least half of our projects right now. And I would not be surprised if within the next two years, we see it on 80-90% of our projects," Kim said.
Cerling-Hennes adds the state made big strides policy-wise in 2023.
"So much happened last year, starting with passing 100% clean energy by 2040. And then following that up with a really historic energy omnibus bill. We created the Minnesota Climate Innovation Finance Authority. We funded high-voltage transmission," she said.
Tara Narayanan, lead analyst for North American regional trends with Bloomberg New Energy Finance, said energy efficiency is working - electricity consumption went down even as productivity went up. However, she notes that we need to ramp up the clean-energy transition even faster if we are to meet the goals set by the Paris Accords.
"Compare where we are going against where the U.S. has committed to go, we're really not on track. We're really going to have to make dramatic efforts in order to get to where we had committed to be in 2013," Narayanan said.
The state got $800 million in climate funding from President Joe Biden's infrastructure bill and the Inflation Reduction Act.
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New federal funding aims to revolutionize solar energy access within New Mexico's Native American communities and benefit the state overall.
The Environmental Protection Agency's $7 billion "Solar for All" program is designed to create new or expanded low-income solar programs.
Talia Martin, co-executive director of the National Tribal Program for GRID Alternatives, said the funding will help bridge the clean energy gap in Native American communities.
"In New Mexico, tangible impacts would be for household savings," Martin explained. "Which means working directly with the tribes to ensure that the savings are going to individual households as well as to the community as a whole."
According to Martin, the $62 million EPA grant awarded to the GRID Tribal Program is its largest ever. Nationwide, the agency's program is set to help at least 4,700 households in Native American communities. Across the U.S., the EPA said the program will enable more than 900,000 low-income households and disadvantaged communities to benefit from distributed solar energy.
Martin emphasized the program will allow GRID to help bolster solar storage capabilities and implement essential upgrades, while at the same time advancing their mission to support the self-determined efforts of Native American tribes to deploy clean energy on tribal lands, arguing it will be important to recruit contractors who understand the needs of tribal communities they're working with.
"It's an amazing window for Indian Country to be involved in energy development," Martin pointed out. "We want to just help foster all these relationships that it is going to take to do that."
The state of New Mexico also received a grant of $156 million from the program to overcome existing barriers to widespread adoption of distributed solar generation. In addition to the federal money for solar, Array Technologies announced last week it will build a new $50 million solar manufacturing campus near Albuquerque.
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A round of public testimony wrapped up this week as part of renewed efforts by a company seeking permit approval in North Dakota for an underground pipeline carrying carbon emissions. Economic benefits were again touted but the plan still has opponents.
Last year, North Dakota's Public Service Commission denied a permit request from Summit Carbon Solutions, which wants to build a maze of pipelines in several Midwestern states. Emissions from ethanol plants would be captured for underground storage in North Dakota.
Skott Skokos, executive director of the Dakota Resource Council, said they remain unconvinced it would be a worthwhile project.
"It felt like déjà vu," Skokos observed. "I don't think Summit did anything to relax the concerns of the public."
Company officials have submitted a new application with a revised route as they try to ease concerns about safety and landowner rights. During comment periods, Summit leaders and other speakers discussed how the project would provide economic boosts, including corn prices. However, skeptics restated their concerns about potential ruptures and lasting negative effects on the landscape.
Skokos pointed out large carbon-capture projects like these have yet to prove themselves, noting smaller initiatives are not as likely to rile up opponents. He pointed to the Red Trail ethanol plant in North Dakota.
"They're storing it, basically, almost on-site, next to the facility and they're not affecting a bunch of landowners in the process," Skokos emphasized.
The Summit regulatory case has two upcoming public hearings in North Dakota, one scheduled for May 24 and the other on June 4. The company has run into similar opposition and permitting headwinds in other states, including South Dakota.
Disclosure: The Dakota Resource Council contributes to our fund for reporting on Climate Change/Air Quality, Energy Policy, Environment, and Rural/Farming. If you would like to help support news in the public interest,
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