LAS VEGAS - Journalists, political analysts and advocacy groups gathered at the University of Nevada-Las Vegas on Tuesday to dissect the so-called "blue wave" in the 2018 midterm election that solidified Nevada's transition from purple to blue.
The midterms saw a slew of Democrats elected to high office, including U.S. Sen. Jacky Rosen, Gov. Steve Sisolak, Lt. Gov. Kate Marshall and Attorney General Aaron Ford.
Amanda Khan, state field director for the nonprofit Progressive Leadership Alliance of Nevada (PLAN-Action), said she thinks what people are calling a "blue wave" is really a "people's wave" - propelled by a large number of newly active voters.
"We knew that Democrats were going to vote for Democrats and Republicans were going to vote for Republicans," she said, "and it was about getting the voices who are often left out of the conversation, which is disenfranchised voters and those who identified as nonpartisan."
The group also discussed successful efforts to add polling places on remote Native American reservations and to register voters who are in prison or have been recently released. The panel noted the success of ballot initiatives to automatically sign people up to vote when they renew their driver's license, and to repeal the so-called "pink tax" on feminine-hygiene products.
The group Latino Decision showcased some of its polling, which found that about 70 percent of Latino voters in Nevada cast ballots for the Democratic candidates for governor and senator. Khan credited strong get-out-the-vote efforts that focused less on candidates' personalities and more on bread-and-butter issues.
"The top issues were access to affordable health care, mass incarceration, affordable education, quality jobs and economy, and the environment," she said.
When the Legislature convenes in February, groups are working to end cash bail, decriminalize traffic tickets and combat water pollution from mining. Some progressive groups are planning town halls and other events to stay involved in communities that might otherwise feel disenfranchised.
The Latino Decisions polls are online at latinodecisions.com.
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Virginia lawmakers begin their legislative session today but with elections ahead in November, passing bills may be more difficult this year.
Democrats are interested in beginning the process of passing constitutional amendments on voting rights, marriage equality and reproductive rights this year. The Virginia General Assembly must pass a constitutional amendment twice, in two different legislative sessions, then the amendment would go to voters for approval.
Kate Seltzer, state politics reporter for the Norfolk Virginian-Pilot, said a major priority for state Republicans will be tax relief, particularly relief from the annual Vehicle Personal Property Tax, known as the "car tax."
"State Republicans are endorsing an end to the car tax, or taking some incremental steps to end the car tax, which they described as the 'most hated tax since the Boston tea tax.' It is an unpopular tax," Seltzer explained.
It is unpopular because it costs people who own or lease a vehicle just over $4 for each $100 of their car's value as of Jan. 1 each year. Democrats, however, are concerned about school and local government funding if the car tax is repealed. One poll last year found more than 60% of Virginians wanted to see it repealed.
Other Republican priorities include raising criminal penalties for breaking laws involving firearms and drugs.
Seltzer noted the elections coming up later this year may lead to both sides digging in and wanting to deliver key parts of their agendas to their bases.
"The sort of cynical school of thought is that everybody will promote their own legislative priorities," Seltzer observed. "What they will then do is go back to their constituents and explain, 'Well, this is what we tried to do. This is what the other party did to prevent you from having this.' And then, they'll use that in the gubernatorial election."
Elections for governor, lieutenant governor, attorney general and the entire state House of Delegates will be held this November.
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Virginia will hold three special elections across the state today, the first elections since President-elect Donald Trump's victory in November.
The races may hold key signs for state elections later in November. A state senate and house seat are up for grabs in Loudoun County, where Vice President Kamala Harris trounced Trump by more than 20 points. Another senate district in deeply Republican rural areas outside of Richmond is up for grabs.
Karen Hult, professor of political science at Virginia Tech, said she will be looking to see if Republicans build on their slim wins for president and Congress, and how Democrats have responded following their tough losses and closer-than-expected victories in November.
"That will give us a sense of whether the Democrats have regathered and regrouped, and decided we're going to keep moving forward in the statewide elections this calendar year," Hult explained.
Hult added she does not expect major upsets but special elections traditionally have low turnout, leaving room for a possible surprise or narrower margins. The special elections will likely not affect the power balances in the state legislature.
Virginia made a solid swing toward Republicans this year. Harris only won the state by six points, compared to President Joe Biden's 10-point victory in 2020. Much of it can be attributed to Trump increasing his margins in the Washington, D.C., suburbs like Loudoun County. Hult expects voters will focus on issues such as the federal workforce, spending on public education, and reproductive rights.
She noted Virginia is one of only a few states to hold off-year elections, a barometer of sorts following a presidential election.
"This is seen as an early diagnostic on how a newly elected president is doing. I think Virginia does get -- and probably should get -- a great deal of attention just for getting a sense of what people on the ground are thinking about things going forward."
In November, Virginians will elect a governor, lieutenant governor, attorney general and the entire House of Delegates.
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Progressive advocates are expressing concerns over President-elect Donald Trump's nomination of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.
Amy Adams, partnership director for the advocacy group Progress Iowa, has been on the ground in small, rural towns, hearing concerns from residents about Kennedy's controversial stance on vaccines and his alleged promotion of baseless health claims.
"They didn't want to see vaccines discontinued," Adams reported. "These are individuals who have seen polio in their lifetimes and the impacts of this. And just the concerns with Kennedy specifically and his ties to misinformation and vaccine conspiracy theories."
Those concerns aside, some progressive Democrats are considering supporting Kennedy for his stance on reducing the heavy corporate influence over the U.S. food supply and his goal of getting more chemicals out of what people consume.
Based on the input Progress Iowa has received from people around the state, Adams argued the clear choice for Iowa's senators is to reject Kennedy's nomination.
"We're hearing stories over and over again about people who are cancer survivors, who benefited from research and development, and people who need those around them to be vaccinated so they can be safe and healthy because they are immunocompromised," Adams explained.
Adams added Iowans also had the opportunity to share their views directly with Sen. Joni Ernst, R-Iowa, one of Iowa's two senators who will vote on Kennedy's confirmation.
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