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Report: Declining Child Population a Concern for NC’s Future

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Friday, April 14, 2023   

North Carolina is among the states where the child population has increased, but nationwide numbers suggest a decline in children, which could potentially impact education, health care, and the workforce.

According to a report by the Annie E. Casey Foundation, more than 1 million children were not reported in the 2020 census.

Nathan Dollar, director of Carolina demography at the Carolina Population Center, suggested it could be linked to fertility rates in the country among many other factors.

"Two-point-one child is considered replacement," Dollar explained. "In 2010 the U.S. fell below replacement fertility, and has continued to decline since."

The study suggested it is possible the child population could increase, but it is not likely to change the trend. A low fertility rate also highlights the importance of immigration as a means of population and economic growth.

The Annie E. Casey report found the decline in child population varies across different states and demographics. Rural areas are particularly at risk, and Dollar noted they are already struggling to address the issue in North Carolina with overall population decline in some places.

"This is harder felt in rural areas in North Carolina," Dollar pointed out. "They are dealing with K-12 consolidation, strains on health care which are already insufficient in those areas."

The total number of births in the United States has fallen 16% since 2007. Dollar added the numbers present a complex issue but moving forward, it is important to consider what this means in caring for the aging population and children.


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