Según recientes sondeos de The New York Times y Siena College, el presidente Biden va por detrás del expresidente Donald Trump en cinco de los seis estados más disputados, uno de los cuales es Arizona.

En el estado del Gran Cañón, Trump aventaja a Biden en cinco puntos porcentuales.

Elaine Kamarck, del Instituto Brookings, dice que, a pesar de que las encuestas muestran que Biden está perdiendo terreno, agravado por su índice de aprobación desfavorable, ¿eso significa que los votantes no votarán por él y por otros demócratas en las próximas elecciones?

Dice que no es una respuesta sencilla.

"Tal vez no haya relación entre la popularidad del presidente y el voto en las urnas," dice Kamarck. "Los votantes votan por cosas muy diferentes quizá porque tenemos una cultura "centrada en el presidente", tal vez nos equivoquemos todo el tiempo."

Mientras que el sondeo de The New York Times y Siena College, incluía a poco más de 3,600 votantes registrados en los seis estados, Kamarck afirma que otros sondeos estatales, que infunden temor a muchos demócratas, están compuestos sólo por unos 600 participantes, que según ella, probablemente no comprenden la totalidad de las preferencias y verdaderas actitudes de los votantes.

Kamarck dice que, al observar las elecciones especiales de 2021, las intermedias de 2022 y las elecciones más recientes de este año, la impopularidad del presidente Biden no tiene mucho que ver con los votos democráticos.

Sostiene que los demócratas "superaron las expectativas" en los tres años y aumentaron sus márgenes.

Dice que el aborto es un gran motivador para los votantes demócratas. Arizona es uno de varios estados que analizan una posible propuesta de medida sobre el derecho al aborto en las elecciones del próximo año, lo que podría aumentar las posibilidades de los demócratas.

"Cuando el derecho a elegir está en el centro de la agenda, el aborto es una motivación increíblemente poderosa," asegura Kamarck. "Creo que en toda mi vida política, que ha sido bastante larga, es probablemente el mayor impulso que he visto, en verdad."

Arizona por el Acceso al Aborto cuenta con el apoyo de una coalición de defensores de los derechos reproductivos que actualmente trabajan para conseguir cerca de 400,000 firmas de votantes de Arizona antes de julio del próximo año.

Actualmente, el aborto es legal en Arizona hasta las 15 semanas, sin excepciones por violación o incesto. La ley contempla una excepción para salvar la vida de una madre embarazada.

El apoyo para este informe fue proporcionado por The Carnegie Corporation of New York.



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Recent Supreme Court rulings on air pollution are affecting Virginia and the nation.

Climate advocates said the court overstepped its bounds in ruling the Environmental Protection Agency's Good Neighbor Rule was improperly enacted and repealing the so-called "Chevron deference." Without it, judges have to rule on ambiguous regulatory laws with no agency expertise.

Craig Segall, vice president of the advocacy group Evergreen Action, said the court is diminishing the capacity of Virginia's federal climate partners like the EPA.

"By creating room to attack, for instance, carbon standards for power plants federally, that Virginia might want to implement," Segall outlined. "Or by making it harder for U.S. EPA to move us toward electric vehicles that would create jobs in Virginia and that would, you know, clean up the air, especially in Northern Virginia where it's so congested."

He added it creates an opportunity for states to lead on climate action. But partisan opinions on climate change vary across the country. In Virginia, it means mixed efforts from utility companies and lawmakers. Dominion Energy is developing offshore wind, but it is also pressing on with a natural gas plant residents vehemently oppose.

The rulings, coupled with decisions on presidential immunity and what constitutes bribery have eroded the Supreme Court's perception of impartiality. Polls show most Americans across party lines feel the Court puts political ideology first.

Quentin Scott, federal policy director for the Chesapeake Climate Action Network, said it opens the floodgates to government corruption.

"We can't have this blatant, open corruption or it will diminish our effectiveness of government and enforcement of some very important rules related to pollution," Scott asserted.

He stressed climate action will be a top ballot priority along with preserving democracy. Some of his group's top issues for the next presidency will be improving grid interconnection of clean energy projects and approving certain reforms for the Supreme Court.

Vice President Kamala Harris, now the presumptive Democratic nominee for president, delivered a powerful message in Indianapolis.

Speaking at a Zeta Phi Beta Sorority event, just days after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race and endorsed her candidacy, Harris emphasized her dedication to affordable healthcare, student debt relief, and gun control measures, including universal background checks and an assault weapons ban.

She also hammered home that, if she is elected president, she would restore a woman's right to choose an abortion.

"When I am President of the United States and when Congress passes a law to restore those freedoms, I will sign it into law," Harris said. "We are not playing around."

Harris expressed her belief that the current administration has made progress toward a better future by implementing such initiatives as capping insulin prices for more affordable healthcare, passing the Child Tax Credit, and forgiving student loan debt for millions of Americans.

GOP Vice-Presidential nominee J.D. Vance was also in Indiana Wednesday. He spoke at a private event in Ft. Wayne.

Criticizing Project 2025, a conservative plan drafted by the Heritage Foundation, Harris warned it would take the country backward in the areas of medical freedom and education.

"This represents an outright attack on our children, our family, and our future. These extremists want to take us back, but we are not going back. We are not going back," she said.

Harris called for unity in defending freedom and stated there are two different visions for the country. Her vision, she said, looks to the future; the other, she said, looks to the past. Harris urged the community to mobilize and vote, stressing the significance of this moment in shaping the nation's future.


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A sweeping conservative plan to shape a possible second Donald Trump presidency is making headlines, even as the GOP candidate claims to know little about it.

"Project 2025" from the conservative Heritage Foundation includes standard conservative ideas, such as slashing regulations, but also firing thousands of civil servants, dismantling the Department of Education and giving more power to the states.

David Nevins, co-publisher of The Fulcrum and co-founder of the Bridge Alliance, a network of organizations working to promote healthy self-governance, has enlisted experts to share their thoughts on each of Project 2025's 30 sections.

"The cross-partisan approach that we believe in is, in some cases, the federal government can do certain things more effectively - in some cases not as effectively - and that's the discussion we need to have as a nation," Nevins said.

Alarming to New Mexico conservationists, Project 2025 proposes slashing federal money for research and investment in renewable energy, and replacing carbon-reduction goals with efforts to increase energy production and energy security.

Nevins believes many on the far right want to "turn back the clock" and erase societal changes that have occurred in the last 20 to 30 years. He said people can be afraid of change - especially when things are moving fast - but thinks Project 2025 represents a lack of open-mindedness rather than seeking common ground to take democracy to its next level.

"The reality of America is that we are a diverse country, in terms of racial, ethnic, sexual preferences, religion - that is the reality. And if we're going to live into the pluralistic dream of our founding fathers and mothers, we have to learn to make that work," he explained.

While Trump has denied knowing much about Project 2025, nearly two-thirds of the authors behind the plan served in his former administration.


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