Una narrativa común sugiere que los votantes estadounidenses profundamente polarizados siempre apoyan a los candidatos de su partido, pero un nuevo estudio sugiere lo contrario en determinadas circunstancias. Investigadores de las universidades estatales de Sacramento y San Diego preguntaron a más de 900 votantes partidistas sobre la vivienda y las personas sin hogar y luego les pidieron que eligieran, en una elección local hipotética, entre un candidato de su partido que no estaba de acuerdo con sus puntos de vista o uno del partido opuesto que está alineado con ellos en materia de políticas. La profesora asociada del estado de Sacramento, Danielle Martin, fue coautora del estudio.

"En general, los votantes apoyan a los candidatos de su propio partido, incluso cuando un candidato del partido opuesto estaba más cerca de sus puntos de vista sobre uno de esos temas locales destacados. Pero también encontramos que alrededor del 40% desertó de su partido," enfatizó Martin.

El estudio encontró que las personas con una lealtad débil al partido tenían más probabilidades de desertar, en comparación con las personas que están muy comprometidas con su posición política. También descubrieron que, en las elecciones a nivel nacional y estatal, es mucho menos probable que la gente divida sus votos entre partidos.

El coautor del estudio, el profesor Ted Lascher, también de Sacramento State University, agrega que los datos muestran que los votantes son más flexibles cuando un tema les toca de cerca.

"Una de las implicaciones es que alguien que se postula, que es del partido externo, en términos de identificación de partido local, puede ganar las elecciones para el consejo municipal y la alcaldía, si elige el tema con mucho cuidado. Porque los votantes a veces cruzan las líneas partidistas en cuestiones locales concretas," argumentó Lascher.

Brian Adams, profesor de ciencias políticas de la Universidad Estatal de San Diego, dice que esto significa que aunque los demócratas disfrutan de un amplio apoyo en California, este apoyo es más condicional que absoluto en las elecciones locales.

"Gran parte de esta investigación sugiere que, si los republicanos presentaran candidatos que realmente estuvieran de acuerdo con algunas de las posiciones políticas que tienen los votantes demócratas, al menos algunos votantes demócratas estarían dispuestos a cambiar," insistió también Adams.

Alrededor del 96% de las contiendas electorales en los EE. UU. son a nivel local, para contiendas como la junta escolar, el consejo municipal y la junta de supervisores del condado.

Apoyo para esta historia fue proporcionado por la Carnegie Corporation of New York


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It is the first day of early voting in Arizona and both presidential hopefuls will be making their cases to voters.

Gov. Tim Walz, DFL-Minn., the Democratic candidate for vice president, will attend events in the Phoenix area today, including a meeting with tribal leaders of the Gila River Indian Community before making his way to Tucson. Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, DFL-Minn., the country's highest-ranking Native woman in executive office, said the Harris-Walz campaign knows the importance of Arizona's 11 electoral votes but also how decisive the Native vote can be.

"In 2020, we watched it come down to Arizona," Flanagan recounted. "I know how powerful the Native vote was in that election and I anticipate that the Native vote will turn up and turn out yet again."

Indigenous people account for about 6% of Arizona's population While Native voters have typically leaned Democratic, Republicans are also aiming to engage them.

Sen. JD Vance, R-Ohio, the GOP's vice presidential nominee, will hold a rally in Tucson today and early voters will begin casting their ballots in what's sizing up to be an extremely tight race.

Voters in precincts on the Navajo and Hopi reservations in northeastern Arizona cast about 60,000 ballots in 2020, compared to about 45,000 in 2016, according to The Associated Press. Flanagan called it "significant" and said she is encouraging all Arizonans to vote early.

"It's really powerful," Flanagan emphasized. "Turn up, you vote early and then, you can spend the rest of your time knocking on doors, calling people and having conversations with your friends and relatives about the power of their vote, especially in Arizona."

Vice President Kamala Harris is set to return to Arizona for the second time in two weeks, to speak at a campaign rally in Phoenix Thursday evening. Former President Donald Trump will also make his way back to the Grand Canyon State on Sunday for a rally in Prescott.

Support for this reporting was provided by The Carnegie Corporation of New York.


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A coalition of voting rights advocates in Nevada is voicing its opposition to Question 7 on this year's ballot, which would require Nevadans to present a government-issued photo ID before voting in person.

If passed, it would also require voters using mail-in ballots to list the last four digits of their driver's license or Social Security number, or a county clerk registered number. Supporters said it will help restore Nevadans' faith in the electoral process.

Athar Haseebullah, executive director of the ACLU of Nevada, countered elections are already safe, secure and fair, and thinks Question 7 is trying to solve a problem that doesn't exist.

"Stringent voter ID requirements nationwide have created a greater risk of voter suppression than they have of potentially addressing voter fraud, which is nonexistent," Haseebullah contended.

The Brennan Center for Justice found most reported incidents of voter fraud are "traceable to other sources, such as clerical errors." Proponents argued it is about ensuring only eligible individuals vote. If it passes in November, Question 7 would be placed on the 2026 General Election ballot for a final vote.

Kerry Durmick, Nevada state director for the group All Voting is Local Action, pointed out Nevada already has an efficient election system and there are already ID requirements in the voter registration process. Durmick called Question 7 a "modern-day poll tax."

"Obtaining an ID can actually cost a voter up to $100, through child care costs, transportation costs and ID costs," Durmick outlined. "The state would have to spend millions of dollars to avoid a modern-day poll tax."

In 2022, neighboring Arizona rejected a ballot measure, which would have required voters to include information like birth date and voter identification numbers when voting by mail. Critics of the proposal said it would have limited the ability of those who do not have a state, tribal or federal government-issued ID to present documents, like utility bills, to vote.

As the November elections approach, students at the University of North Carolina-Wilmington are taking action to remove voting barriers and boost turnout.

Their focus is on voter education and addressing key issues affecting students.

Jake Smith, president of the school's College Democrats, said one of the biggest challenges is helping students understand where and how to vote.

"You move around a lot as a college student," Smith observed. "You have several different addresses just in four years. A lot of people don't know that they can register on their college campus. They think that if they're registered in one part of the state that they can vote in any other part of the state, which is not true."

To address this, he pointed out they have been helping students register with their dorm address so they can have a stake in both the presidential and local elections. Since the start of the semester, the group has been actively registering students on campus, providing information on the registration process, voter ID requirements and polling locations.

Smith noted beyond logistics, key issues such as reproductive rights, climate change and affordability are driving students to the polls. He also voiced concerns about Project 2025, calling it a Republican agenda that could reverse progress on other issues that matter to young people.

"Project 2025 wants to take away free weather forecasting," Smith stressed. "I mean, for God's sake, if you're looking at a state like North Carolina that is so impacted by climate change and natural disasters, having something like that and not being able to even prepare for what might be coming is just completely catastrophic."

With the election less than 30 days away, Smith added the group is intensifying its efforts, not just registering voters but also informing them about what is on the ballot. Their goal is to ensure students understand how they can make an impact on both the national and local level.