Early-voting turnout in Virginia has dropped compared with the same period in 2020. As of Tuesday, slightly more than 1.1 million Virginians have voted early.
According to the Virginia Public Access Project, that's down from nearly 2.8 million early voters by this time in 2020. But one expert says it's hard to draw definitive conclusions about what this means for the upcoming election.
Alex Keena, associate professor of political science at Virginia Commonwealth University, compared the numbers.
"Around this time in 2020, they were still lockdowns and there's a big emphasis on early voting, vote by mail to prevent the spread of the virus," he said. "So, a lot of folks who would normally vote in person opted to vote through mail voting. That may be part of the reason why."
Keena noted several factors may have contributed to the decrease, including that early voting was new to Virginia in 2020 when Democrats gained control of the General Assembly. Virginia's lengthy early voting period is among the most generous in the country, providing voters with 45 days, which is seen as ample opportunity to participate in elections.
Keena added one other reason for the decrease is that some voters may prefer casting their ballots on Election Day rather than participating in early voting.
"And then, another obvious reason is that there's less enthusiasm or interest in this election. It seems hard to believe, since the campaign has been going on for so long, but it may well be that there's just sort of fatigue and people are less interested," he continued.
While much of the national attention is focused on the presidential race, Keena pointed to several key congressional races in Virginia, such as the 2nd and 7th districts. He noted that the first district race between incumbent Rep. Robert Wittman, R-Va., and Democrat Leslie Mehta is closer than it has been in a long time.
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Voting rights advocates are asking for the immediate reinstatement of more than 1,600 Virginia voters whose registrations were purged as part of a state program initiated by Gov. Glenn Youngkin's Executive Order 35.
The removals, revealed as part of a federal lawsuit, are being challenged by the Justice Department and advocacy groups. They claim the purge violates federal law by disenfranchising eligible voters during the 90-day "quiet period" before the November election.
Joan Porte, president of the League of Women Voters of Virginia, expressed concerns about excluding certain groups, especially immigrants and people of color.
"Relying on outdated and flawed data to remove thousands of people from the rolls is reckless," Porte asserted. "Even further, removing people from the polls during the 90 days before a federal election is illegal and prohibited by the National Voting Rights Act."
Gov. Youngkin defended the process, claiming it removes groups, including noncitizens, who have -- either accidentally or intentionally -- attempted to register to vote.
Monica Sarmiento, executive director of the Virginia Coalition for Immigrant Rights, is among those demanding the restoration of all eligible voters, citing the risk of disenfranchisement from the governor's actions on Aug. 7.
"Which we believe has illegally disenfranchised naturalized voters in Virginia," Sarmiento contended. "Naturalized citizens are Americans and have every right to cast their vote."
The lawsuit asks the court to take four key actions: Declare the purge program violates the National Voter Registration Act, order the defendants to stop the program, direct them to reinstate anyone wrongly removed from the voter rolls unless it was confirmed they are not a citizen and require the defendants to notify affected voters they are still and can cast a regular ballot if eligible.
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Prominent Black church leaders and faith influencers from coast to coast are taking their message beyond the pulpit and going door to door to mobilize Black communities to vote.
Under the banner of The Black Church PAC, these leaders are focused on voter education and empowerment through an initiative called "100-K Strong: Knock for Change, Vote for Justice." The group also organizes voter-registration drives, advocates for policy reforms, and pushes for changes they feel reflect the core values of the Black faith community.
"We have secured key commitments from key clergy members and community members to engage with 100,000 residents - knocking on their doors, dropping literature," said Pastor Mike McBride, senior pastor of The Way Christian Center in Berkeley, California, and co-chair of the PAC.
McBride said the Black Church PAC is focusing its efforts in six battleground states: Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
He also warned that the rise of social media and the spread of misinformation are actively working to suppress voters. To help counteract this trend, he said the Black Church PAC has spoken to 300,000 voters over the course of 30 tour dates.
"What we want to ensure is that, particularly in swing states, that we can grow the kind of universe of voters who turn out on voting day," he said, "just by making sure they have the right information and the right reminder - and when needed, a ride to the polls."
He also acknowledged that voter intimidation at the polls is real. He said his organization has partnered with other clergy for poll-watching programs, to help protect voters as they wait in line to exercise their 15th Amendment right.
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The 2024 election is hitting its home stretch, and many Washingtonians have already received their ballots in the mail. Even with Election Day approaching, there's still time for people to do research and make informed decisions with their votes.
Cynthia Stewart, first vice president of the League of Women Voters of Washington, said people can start with voter pamphlets and candidates' websites. Her organization also has a voter guide at vote411.org. She said people should make plans for how they'll return their ballots before the 8 p.m. deadline on Nov. 5.
"We encourage people to mail their ballots in very early just to make sure they get there in time," she said, "but if somebody is voting at the last minute, there are drop boxes all over the state where people can take their ballots, and those are picked up at 8 o'clock and then they are counted."
Ballots returned in the mail and postmarked by Election Day at the latest will be counted. People can also still register to vote online until next Monday, Oct. 28. After that, they'll need to register in person at their local elections office, up until 8 p.m. on Nov. 5.
Cathy MacCaul, advocacy director for AARP Washington, said candidates and campaigns should focus on the issues that older Americans care about because they vote in the largest numbers every election.
"Housing, health care and financial security seem to be top of mind for older adults," she said, "and that's why our individuals who are running for office this election cycle - we want to know what steps will they be taking to support older adults as they age?"
MacCaul said policies that support Washington state's 820,000 unpaid family caregivers are also important this election.
"So that if they need to have respite care or have somebody come into their home to help care for the individual that they're trying to care for," she said, "so that they can have a break, or that they can go to work or that they can also interact with fun activities as well."
MacCaul said AARP Washington doesn't endorse candidates, but it is opposing Initiative 2124, as is the League of Women Voters of Washington. The measure would make the long-term care benefits program WA Cares optional for workers, which both organizations say would effectively end it because it would become financially unsustainable. Supporters say workers should be allowed to choose if they want to pay into WA Cares.
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