Optimism is falling and pessimism is rising among businesses getting a read on the U.S. economy, according to a new national survey.

The findings are from the Center for Audit Quality, which gathered feedback from the nation's leading public company audit firms. The firms serve clients in a wide range of industries, from retail to mining. The spring survey showed pessimism about the U.S. economy surged to 44%, compared to just 10% last fall. Meanwhile, optimism fell to 15%.

Julie Bell Lindsay, CEO of the center, said there are a handful of key factors behind the sentiments.

"Concern about a recession, ongoing geopolitical instability, and tariff uncertainty," Lindsay outlined. "Those are the top three areas where audit partners are seeing companies concerned over the next 12 months."

The Trump administration said it remains undeterred in applying broad-based tariffs in pursuit of fair trade. Financial analysts said the approach creates less predictability for businesses with the potential for layoffs, adding some of the tariff polices have resulted in legal setbacks. White House officials hope tariffs lead to more domestic manufacturing but experts cautioned it could take years.

Among respondents, 54% said companies in their sectors are reducing employee headcounts in the current economic landscape but nearly half also are making an effort to boost the skills of existing staff. Lindsay added artificial intelligence has major appeal right now.

"The companies in the industries that they audit are mainly pursuing the use of AI to enhance customer experiences, services and support, as well as automate some work processes," Lindsay explained.

Despite the Trump administration's interest in cryptocurrency, survey results show American companies feel the situation is not right yet to jump into those markets. Of those surveyed, 96% said their clients are not having talks right now about such investments.


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June is National Homeownership Month. However, both buyers and sellers in Indiana are wary of the housing market, amid unwavering interest rates and an imbalance of supply and demand.

Interest rates on the average 30-year fixed mortgage continue to hover around 7%. Indiana, like many other states, has a housing shortage.

Chris Pryor, chief advocacy officer of the Metropolitan Indianapolis Board of Realtors, which serves around 10,000 central Indiana realtors, described the factors influencing the stagnant housing market.

"Household formations look very different today than they did years ago. Yet the majority of what we build is the same type of housing," said Pryor. "We produce a lot of large lot single-family housing with four bedrooms. Many households today are much smaller. In fact, one of the largest groups of buyers today is single females."

Pryor noted that people want homes of different types, prices and sizes, and said the lack of unique home design is failing to meet changing consumer preferences.

He added a recent trend is that many house hunters are looking for homes with smaller yards, and within walkable communities.

In June 2024, the state's average 30-year mortgage rates were at just over 7%, rising above the national average, according to housing research site Innago.

Pryor explained millennials are still watching the homebuying landscape -- but low inventory, high prices, and an unpredictable job market is leaving them with few options.

Pryor said current homeowners, many of whom are older Americans or retirees, are also staying in their homes longer.

"This is happening because they're either locked into their current home because they have such a low interest rate on their current mortgage, or there just simply aren't enough opportunities to downsize," said Pryor, "because we either lack the housing products in those categories, or they're priced too high. So, people are just sitting in their current home."

A 2024 report from the Indiana Association of Realtors indicates Muncie, Kokomo and Columbus had positive home sales growth, while Bloomington had the highest sale prices in the state.




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A bill prohibiting credit reporting on Oregonians' medical debt has been signed into law by Gov. Tina Kotek. Hailed as a significant victory for consumer rights advocates, the bill also removes existing medical debt from credit reports, including debt from medical credit cards.

High medical costs have forced nearly one in three Oregonians into debt in the last two years alone, causing cascading financial harms long after bills are paid.

Adam Zarrin, director of state government affairs with the Leukemia & Lymphoma Society, said the cost of treating leukemia, for example, is almost a half-million dollars, much of which becomes debt.

"So, an individual like that might now be able to stabilize their life, get the job they want, start a business, get a line of credit to move on with their life without the kind of financial burdens you get from medical debt," Zarrin explained.

Three major credit reporting agencies have already taken steps to remove some medical debt from people's credit reports voluntarily. Oregon will be the 14th state to implement similar legislation, set to take effect next year.

Chris Coughlin, policy director for Oregon Consumer Justice, said it isn't fair that people's ability to rent an apartment or buy a car would be affected by debt they didn't choose to take on, or that may be inaccurate.

"Sometimes people get sent to collections for debt that's not theirs through the health care system," she continued.

On the federal level, Coughlin warns that protections for medical debt and credit reporting, once enforced by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, have now been revoked by the Trump administration.

"Now it's more important than ever for states to take action to protect Oregonians," she said. "And so, we're really happy that this bill has moved forward."

Zarrin added with cuts to Medicaid looming in the future, it is likely that more Americans will lose health care, including over 220,000 Oregonians, resulting in increased medical debt.

Coughlin said it's yet another reason for states to enact policies to protect their residents.

By Seth Millstein for Sentient.
Broadcast version by Suzanne Potter for California News Service reporting for the Sentient-Public News Service Collaboration

The avian flu outbreak is entering its fourth year, and egg prices are still sky-high. Donald Trump won the presidency in part on a pledge to lower egg prices, and in February, Secretary of Agriculture Brooke Rollins rolled out a five-point plan for defeating bird flu and making eggs cheaper. Unfortunately, it probably won't work.

"This is beyond any farmer's ability, or any state's ability, to address," Maurice Pitesky, associate professor and expert in poultry disease modeling at the UC Davis School of Veterinary Medicine, tells Sentient. "We need every tool that we can use."

But there are effective tools and ineffective tools, and there's good reason to think that Rollins' proposals will fall more into the latter category than the former.

What's Been Done So Far to Combat Bird Flu and High Egg Prices

So far, the government has attempted to fight bird flu by paying chicken farmers to kill their entire flocks if they detect one case of the virus. This indemnity program, as it's known, has doled out more than a billion dollars so far to poultry farms across the country.

This approach has been controversial, however: In addition to the fact that it plainly hasn't worked to stop the spread of disease, the indemnity payments haven't been evenly distributed, with around half of all the money going to just 10 egg producers.

In theory, chicken farmers that go through this process are required to upgrade the security at their farms if they want to be eligible for future indemnity payments. But this hasn't been enforced very stringently; until recently, farms were merely required to submit a written plan to the USDA outlining their biosecurity plans.

However, the Biden administration updated this rule at the end of 2024, and began requiring HPAI-infected poultry farms to undergo a visual audit by USDA inspectors before being eligible for any future indemnity payments.

What's Trump's Plan to Bring Down Egg Prices?

The Trump administration has announced a $1 billion plan to fight avian flu and reduce egg prices. Here are the five measures it contains.

1. Better Biosecurity

First, the USDA is promising to spend up to $500 million to beef up biosecurity measures at egg-laying facilities. Biosecurity refers to policies and physical infrastructure aimed at preventing avian flu from reaching egg farms in the first place.

Specifically, the USDA will be expanding a Biden-era pilot program called Wildlife Biosecurity Assessments, which involves sending agency staff to chicken farms to identify any ways in which wild birds might be infiltrating the facilities. This program was initially rolled out in Iowa, Minnesota, North Dakota and South Dakota, and as of October 2024, had been carried out on 169 farms, according to the USDA.

Why Solely Farm-Based Biosecurity Is an Incomplete Solution

Pitesky is a big advocate of what he calls "outward facing biosecurity" - that is, protecting against avian flu by monitoring and modifying the ecosystems that surround poultry farms, as opposed to only focusing on the farm itself. The reasoning is that avian flu is transmitted to poultry from wild birds, so it's more effective to tackle the problem at the source.

In theory, Wildlife Biosecurity Assessments are a version of this. But in practice, they fall short of what Pitesky is suggesting, because they aren't dynamic.

In order for outward facing security to work, Pitesky says, the surrounding ecosystems need to be monitored, and potentially modified, on an ongoing basis, not just once. That's because environments change over time, and so do the threats that they pose as potential transmitters of bird flu.

But Wildlife Biosecurity Assessments don't do this. They're just a one-time analysis, and as such, they don't and can't account for the ways in which environmental risks change over time.

"The thing that we all have to realize is that the farm doesn't change location, but the habitat around the farm changes," Pitesky says. "What they're doing is not bad, per se, but they're just doing a spot check."

Another Major Oversight: Data

Pitesky also points to another potential shortcoming in the USDA's plan: data. In order to carry out a successful biosecurity assessment, farms need robust and reliable data about their own operations, and they need to store that data in an accessible way to facilitate future biosecurity assessments.

"The big, dirty secret is that lots of farms don't have the data that you need in order to do those biosecurity assessments, and they don't have the data stored correctly," Pitesky says. "You can't really do these biosecurity assessments unless you start developing web tools, app-based tools that can be easily completed, filled out, ranked and sorted to understand risk."

The announcements by Rollins and the USDA make no reference to data, and without proper data collection and storage, there's a hard ceiling to how effective any biosecurity assessments can be, ongoing or not.

"When the USDA says they're going to spend all this money on hardening the biosecurity around these facilities, data doesn't usually get captured in that," Pitesky says. "No one really focuses on the data to figure out where the risk is greatest."

2. Increased Financial Relief for Chicken Farmers

The second "prong" of the USDA's new bird flu strategy is essentially an expansion of the Biden administration's indemnity program for poultry producers, whereby poultry producers are paid to kill off entire flocks if and when a case of avian flu is detected.

The fact that Trump's administration is expanding this Biden-era initiative is notable given that in January, the White House criticized the program and blamed Biden for high egg prices.

This has become a bit of a running theme in Trump's USDA; the agency's recent press release also quotes Rollins as saying that "the Biden administration did little to address the repeated outbreaks," then refers to the Biden administration's Wildlife Biosecurity Assessments as the "gold standard" in biosecurity.

Why This Solution Is Vague

The goal of the indemnification program is to incentivize farmers to report and snuff out avian flu outbreaks on their farms as quickly as possible. That hasn't been how it's played out, however, as in practice payouts lowered the economic risk of an outbreak. And as it's currently structured, it's still resulted in many poultry farmers taking a financial hit, even with the indemnity payments.

It takes time to disinfect and repopulate a farm after killing all of the chickens in it, and this lag time represents lost profits for chicken farmers. Current policy also prohibits poultry farms that are near infected sites, but have not yet been infected themselves, from placing new flocks in their facilities until after the nearby infection has been contained, thus cutting into their profits as well.

Lawmakers have recently introduced legislation that would modify the indemnity payment structure in an attempt to more fairly compensate chicken farmers in their attempts to contain avian flu. In the meantime, the Rollins plan seems to be aimed at accomplishing that same goal.

Exactly how it will do so is unclear, however. In a call with reporters, a USDA spokesperson said indemnity rates would be based on "fair market value," while a USDA press release promised "new programs...to aid farmers to accelerate the rate of repopulation." What these programs will look like, however, is anybody's guess.

3. Funding for Vaccine Research

The USDA is also pledging to invest "up to $100 million" toward the development of "vaccines, therapeutics, and other innovative solutions," and will hold biweekly discussions on this topic.

Why This Solution Is Vague & Logistically Challenging

This aspect of the plan, too, is vague on details. Launching a vaccination program for chickens poses a number of logistical challenges, Pitesky says. In addition to the fact that it's physically difficult to vaccinate tens of thousands of chickens on a regular basis, a successful vaccine program would also have to account for the fact that HPAI comes in many different strains and is regularly mutating.

"If we're really going to vaccinate, and I sense that we're moving in that direction, my objection is that we need to put in place a really robust surveillance system so we can make sure that whatever we're vaccinating against is the dominant version of the virus floating around in wild birds," Pitsky says. "I haven't really seen people talk about that, and that scares me a little."

Another wrinkle: many countries won't import vaccinated poultry, which is why the USDA has dragged its feet on vaccination in the past.

4. Deregulation

The fourth component of Rollins' plan is a rollback of certain "regulatory burdens" - including animal welfare laws - that, according to the administration, have contributed to high egg prices.

These laws include regulations concerning backyard chicken flocks and individual farmers who aren't selling their eggs. While the laws differ from region to region, certain localities restrict chicken ownership in various ways, and the administration wants to "minimize burdens" on chicken owners, and would-be chicken owners, in those areas.

Why Deregulating Chicken Ownership Won't Make Much Difference

Pitesky says deregulation for chicken owners probably won't make much of a difference, as restrictions on chicken ownership are already minimal and rarely enforced.

"I'm sure there are rules, but I've never seen chicken police [enforcing them]," Pitesky says. "So I'm not exactly sure what they're talking about."

Backyard chicken eggs might also seem cheaper, but they certainly aren't a solution for bird flu, since backyard chickens can be even more vulnerable to wild bird interaction.

What Prop 12 Deregulation Could Mean for Egg Prices

Rollins also endorsed a move that would be much more significant than deregulating backyard chicken farms: repealing Proposition 12, the California law that restricts the in-state production and sale of certain animal products that were produced using "extreme confinement." In essence, Prop 12 requires egg producers to give their chickens a minimum amount of space to live if they want to produce or sell eggs in the Golden State.

The extent to which Proposition 12 has actually increased egg prices is a topic of heated debate, and it's especially tricky to tease out because the law didn't go into effect until January 2022 - the same month avian flu hit the U.S.

That said, a 2023 analysis by Mingcong Xie at Purdue University concluded that Proposition 12 caused egg prices in California to increase by between 25 and 73 cents per dozen. That's obviously more than zero, but it's still a relatively small increase, especially given that California eggs are already much more expensive than elsewhere in the country. It also pales in comparison to subsequent surges in egg prices, which only occurred after avian flu was in full effect and farmers had begun culling their flocks.

The egg lobby has opposed Proposition 12 from its inception, and in general, so have elected Republicans. In 2024, Republican senators introduced a draft version of a farm bill that would repeal Proposition 12, and various groups sued to have it overturned shortly after California voters approved it in 2018.

But the Supreme Court upheld the law's constitutionality, and because of this, only Congress can repeal it now. And although conservatives generally oppose Prop 12, they're not unified in this: A handful of staunch Republicans in Congress want to keep Prop 12 on the books, and this could imperil any attempt to repeal it.

5. Import Expansion & Export Restriction

The last prong of Rollins' egg plan is also the vaguest. The USDA will "explore options for temporarily increasing egg imports and decreasing exports," according to its press release, in an attempt to bring down egg prices. But even if Rollins had offered details, which she didn't, it'd still be an odd plan.

Why It's an Unlikely Solution

For one, the U.S. doesn't export very many eggs in the first place. In 2022, only 1.7 percent of all U.S.-produced eggs were exported to other countries according to industry figures, so any reduction in exports would have a minimal effect on the overall availability of eggs in the United States.

The same goes for imports. CBS News reports that the Trump administration is in talks to import between 70 and 100 million eggs from outside the country over the next few months.

That might sound like a lot, but the U.S. produces between 8 and 9 billion eggs domestically every month. This means that even if the Trump administration imported twice as many eggs as it intends to, it wouldn't amount to even one percent of the eggs produced in the U.S. over the same period of time.

The Bottom Line

There's reason to doubt the efficacy of these measures. But it's also worth acknowledging that, flawed as the USDA's plan might be, it's not as if there's some other obvious solution to the bird flu outbreak that the administration is leaving on the table. This is the longest and deadliest bird flu outbreak in history, and the measures that worked in the past simply aren't working now.

But ultimately, the only reason egg prices are a matter of national concern is because Americans want to keep eating eggs. Despite the fact that the modern poultry industry has essentially remade the animal population on the planet and been a disaster for animal welfare, the average American eats around 280 eggs a year. Until this changes, the amount of money in Americans' pockets will be impacted by the current state of highly pathogenic avian flu viruses.


Seth Millstein wrote this article for Sentient.


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