DES MOINES, Iowa -- President Donald Trump is to hold a campaign rally in Iowa today. His visit signals how important the state has become in the presidential race, and coincides with a host of struggles many residents are facing.

In 2016, candidate Trump won Iowa by nine points, leaving many pundits thinking it wouldn't be competitive in 2020. But the polls have tightened, and the Hawkeye State now is viewed as a toss-up, a few weeks before the election.

University of Northern Iowa political scientist Donna Hoffman said Iowa actually has a history of being a swing state -- just not as consistently as others.

"Every election cycle brings a unique set of characteristics to it," she said, "and we're seeing that manifest in 2020."

This time around, she said, farmers -- who still express strong support for Trump -- have seen a mixed bag from trade policies. This summer's derecho storm left Iowa fields flattened, reigniting concerns about the impacts of climate change.

She also noted that protests over systemic racism were very visible in Iowa this year, likely leading to more activity from marginalized voters.

Hoffman said the pandemic factor also could be playing a role in the tight polling results. Iowa still is among the states with higher coronavirus infection rates. Gov. Kim Reynolds, a staunch supporter of the president, has come under fire for her response to the crisis.

"Gov. Reynolds has not put in a mask mandate in the state, as many other governors -- even Republican governors -- have done in some other states that have seen high numbers," Hoffman said.

Trump himself has been criticized by opponents and health officials for not fully embracing mask use or carrying out a consistent message on the virus.

Meanwhile, Hoffman said, it will be interesting to see the impact of an executive order signed by Reynolds this year, restoring the voting rights of convicted felons. Prior to the move, Iowa was the last state to still have such a ban.

An Iowa election analysis is online at cookpolitical.com.

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Support for this reporting was provided by the Carnegie Corporation of New York.


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With just under 40 days before the November election, Wisconsin is again mired in controversy over the use of ballot drop boxes and a civic engagement group hopes it does not dovetail into what it described as voter suppression tactics.

Voting access advocates saw a victory over the summer when the Wisconsin Supreme Court reversed a near-total ban on drop boxes for absentee ballots. But this past weekend, the mayor of Wausau, a vocal opponent of the option, held a public event where he removed a drop box.

Sam Liebert, Wisconsin state director for the group All Voting is Local, feels it is an extension of the persistent -- and false -- claims about the outcome of the 2020 presidential election.

"This is just another part of a larger puzzle of continued voter suppression and trying to have fewer people vote in the upcoming November election," Liebert contended.

The mayor has defended his actions, insisting he did nothing wrong. Opponents of drop boxes claim they could be tampered with and said prohibiting them could help ensure election integrity. But election policy analysts countered they are a proven and safe option.

All Voting is Local and other advocates have asked state authorities to look into the matter. The local district attorney is pursuing an investigation.

Even though the state's highest court made this voting tool legal again, local administrators still have the option to decide whether to place drop boxes around their communities. Liebert pointed out those in leadership positions and the public should know how beneficial drop boxes are in giving everyone a chance to vote.

"They help so many types of voters," Liebert emphasized. "Whether they're voters with disabilities, they're third-shift workers, they're single parents, all types of people benefit from having ballot drop boxes."

Earlier this month, a similar controversy arose over guidance from the Dodge County Sheriff's Office to local election clerks. With Wisconsin again viewed as a battleground state, Liebert added such examples serve as a reminder for all entities playing a role in carrying out elections to ensure a safe and accessible environment for voters.

Support for this reporting was provided by The Carnegie Corporation of New York.


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In Ohio's 43rd House District race in Toledo, candidates are discussing a range of issues of interest to their constituents.

Incumbent Rep. Michele Grim, D-Toledo, has been vocal about the recent constitutional amendment on reproductive rights and said her platform addresses several critical areas, including economic development, health care, and public safety.

"Ohio enshrined reproductive rights into the Constitution last November," Grim noted. "But the work is not done because laws still limit women to obtain abortions in a timely manner."

While reproductive rights are part of the conversation, Grim said she is focused on improving health care access, supporting small businesses, and reducing gun violence. Recently, she announced $67 million in state funding for the Building Demolition and Site Revitalization Program, aimed at tearing down almost 1,300 blighted structures across several counties, including Lucas. The funding is intended to support community revitalization efforts and attract investments.

Wendi Hendricks, Grim's Republican challenger, is centering her campaign on public safety and crime reduction. She acknowledged the recent constitutional decision on abortion rights reflects the will of Ohioans, and while she respects the outcome, she believes issues like safety and local economic growth are more pressing concerns for voters in District 43.

"The people in Ohio spoke and answered how they want that to move forward," Hendricks noted. "It's really a nonissue for this campaign. I stand with my constituents and right now they're screaming, 'Safety, safety, safety.'"

Hendricks' platform highlights the importance of working with law enforcement to address crime in Toledo, emphasizing her commitment to improving community safety.

Both candidates bring different areas of focus to the race, offering voters a choice between addressing local economic and safety issues while navigating broader statewide and national concerns.


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With the election six weeks away, concern is building about attempts to intimidate voters at the polls - so, lawmakers are taking action at the state and federal levels.

On Tuesday, Gov. Gavin Newsom signed the PEACE Act, which makes California the first state in the nation to state explicitly that openly carrying a gun in or near a polling place constitutes illegal harassment.

Sean Morales-Doyle, director of the Voting Rights Program for the nonprofit Brennan Center for Justice, said the measure is important.

"It represents some really commonsense principles. All voters, all election workers, should be able to participate and run our democracy free from intimidation. And visible guns around our elections are intimidating," he said.

A recent survey of election workers from the Brennan Center found that 40% report being subject to threats, abuse, or harassment.

On Wednesday, Sen. Alex Padilla, D-Calif., introduced a bill to ban open carry of firearms in polling places nationwide - noting the country has a long history of scare tactics on Election Day.

"There's individuals out there, stoked by partisan rhetoric and false narratives about election fraud, that have taken it upon themselves to either discourage at a minimum, or sometimes outright intimidate people into not letting their voice be heard in the democratic process," Padilla said.

Both political parties plan to have poll watchers present this year. The Brennan Center has set up a hotline at 866-OUR-VOTE for people to report any efforts to intimidate voters or election workers.


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