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Tuesday, December 24, 2024

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Bill Clinton is hospitalized for observation and testing after developing a fever; Biden commutes most federal death sentences before Trump takes office; Proposed post office 'slowdown' threatens rural Americans; Report: Tax credits shrink poverty for NM kids, families; Tiny plastic pieces enter the body in ways you'd never think of.

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Election reveals new generational, racial dynamics in Florida voting

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Wednesday, November 6, 2024   

Although Florida was not considered a swing state this year's election, its diverse demographics reflect national trends, and political observers are watching to see how the trends may have affected the turnout and the results.

Sharon Austin, professor of political science at the University of Florida, said while most of Florida's election outcomes might be predictable, the state's unique demographics offer insights into voter behavior across the country, especially in understanding the diversity within each racial and ethnic group.

"For example, when you say 'Hispanic and Latino,' you have Cuban Americans in South Florida who, in some cases, tend to trend Republican, although many of them are Democrats as well," Austin explained. "But you also have the Puerto Rican population in Central Florida, which tends to trend Democratic."

Austin noted there are unique dynamics within the African American voter base, which includes a large Caribbean demographic. She cautioned against assumptions Vice President Kamala Harris will automatically get significant support from voters of color. She added observers will be looking closely at how many Black Latino and Asian American voters support the Trump campaign, as well as the turnout within the LGBTQ+ community.

Postelection analysis will be key in testing long-held assumptions about diverse groups. Austin highlighted what she called a significant "generation gap" in voter enthusiasm. She is closely watching the election results between younger and older voters, especially in Florida, famously known for its retirement communities.

"If so, to what extent are those differences? Are there extreme differences, in the sense that older voters, the overwhelming majority of them are going to vote for Trump; younger voters, the overwhelming majority of them are going to vote for Harris? Is that what we are going to see in this election cycle?" Austin questioned.

Looking ahead, Austin believes Florida's evolving voter demographics will continue to reshape its political landscape in nuanced ways. She predicted the state's internal dynamics will be an ongoing study in how traditional voting blocs adapt within a changing political environment.


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